Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1223.102088 1383.332369 1559.364928 1767.555702 2007.625499 2276.437509 2601.157426
2025-11-30 985.471458 1202.996035 1463.427120 1800.166302 2226.870641 2753.290516 3457.648980
2025-12-07 821.157421 1053.761363 1348.500352 1753.120374 2299.957103 3021.620271 4059.885334
2025-12-14 705.111110 941.051787 1253.725849 1704.039803 2345.243114 3239.595065 4606.568117
2025-12-21 613.721512 846.252828 1166.175830 1645.962623 2360.252569 3405.279478 5089.319069
2025-12-28 574.785749 817.509263 1163.608830 1703.278827 2542.265008 3828.643116 6013.492581
2026-01-04 533.736080 780.095400 1142.646501 1727.936226 2673.933092 4187.403113 6884.990180
2026-01-11 495.474674 742.167282 1115.721610 1738.151144 2780.762331 4515.836634 7751.292720
2026-01-18 461.799884 707.500303 1089.474272 1744.898505 2880.077527 4840.707040 8657.481393
2026-01-25 440.159117 689.352719 1086.874481 1789.015917 3046.132613 5299.632845 9881.521382
2026-02-01 418.508257 668.940187 1078.121346 1820.691357 3192.373879 5739.544077 11138.823415
2026-02-08 397.104369 646.868081 1064.173901 1840.967952 3318.812852 6156.763556 12417.808873
2026-02-15 376.581681 625.097799 1049.667554 1860.367779 3449.300807 6606.415961 13863.152375
2026-02-22 360.025838 608.832382 1043.376214 1894.441575 3612.994912 7147.282796 15617.704360
2026-03-01 332.873171 571.521515 995.913608 1844.625379 3601.248327 7318.933502 16547.323689
2026-03-08 308.148851 536.627380 949.861599 1792.651819 3578.220349 7461.709975 17431.804119
2026-03-15 284.526650 501.990380 901.475864 1731.165911 3527.541866 7535.479044 18156.541430
2026-03-22 278.126445 498.884115 912.537527 1791.846086 3749.496352 8263.737583 20731.405500
2026-03-29 268.024351 487.937298 907.403818 1817.955286 3897.110449 8838.169551 23014.479185
2026-04-05 256.959221 474.283330 895.745963 1828.772449 4010.620110 9345.870350 25220.510553
2026-04-12 246.317485 460.672285 883.040503 1835.917872 4116.156698 9849.101173 27527.221567
2026-04-19 240.327716 455.866099 887.888252 1882.642972 4323.395195 10648.891754 30936.297225
2026-04-26 233.394875 448.630558 887.045387 1916.195923 4502.114500 11401.139053 34383.428406